Let me be straight to the point. I think that today is Black Tuesday for the Democrats. I forecast a clean sweep for the Republicans in the Gubernatorial elections and the Conservative Party to pick up the seat in New York 23rd Congressional district. Here are my views for all of them.

Virginia Gubernatorial Election

Guaranteed a Republican victory, Bob McDonnell to win for sure. The chances that polls are wrong over there is really small. I think that the chances is about the same size as there would be snow in Miami during the Holidays. It is a fat hope scenario.

I have no preference in this. I think neither would be vastly different from the other. I did not endorse anybody. I think that it would be a very difficult to do the job that Senator Mark Warner and his predecessor Governor Tim Kaine has done. I am also not impressed with either candidate, Creigh Deeds nor McDonnell. Lets hope that I am wrong and Bob McDonnell be a governor as good or better than his previous two predecessors.

New Jersey Gubernatorial Elections.

Not so predictable, but I think that Chris Christie would win it in the end. I have two reasons for that. For one, I think that Chris Daggett would steal away more votes from Governor Corzine rather than Christie. That is always the case with the incumbent. Secondly, I am not impressed with the enthusiasm of Governor Corzine’s supporters. That is important, as it casts an impression on the undecided voters.

My preference is for the Independent Chris Daggett. He is an environmental specialist, while one of his opponent is a screw-up incumbent and the other a seasoned crook.Being an Independent myself, I like a person that is committed to American values, and not Liberal or Conservative ones. Many Republicans and Democrats forget that this is the United States of America, not Conservatistan or Libraland. Also, he is the best on the issues by a freaking mile. Had he been given the same chance as the guys from the big two parties, I believe he would have won handily.

New York 23rd congressional district race

Pollsters dare not predict, but I am very confident that Doug Hoffman would win. It is all about the polls. Before Diedre Dede Scozzafava left the race, Bill Owens was in the lead with 36% of the vote, a statistical tie with Dough Hoffman who polled at 35%. 20% would have voted for Scozzafava and 7% were undecided. For Owens to win, and even in the most unlikely scenario he pick up all 7% of the undecided vote, he still needs 35% of Scozzafava supporters to vote for him. I think that that is virtually impossible even though that is the best case scenario for Owens. On top of that, the district is a very Republican district.

In this case, I endorse Owens. I think that the far-right must never have as much say as to who our candidates should be. Hoffmann is a crazy right winger. And the manner that the Governor Palin- led nutty-right revolt against Scozzafava was done, it was really something that I am not comfortable with. Today the Republicans in the primaries, tomorrow, it can be me.

In all, I think that the Democrats would lose all three elections. It would be a good day for the Republicans. But then again, what is new, the Democrats lose all the time. That is what you get for being spineless.

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